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Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Osaka analysis and find out who is favored!
Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Keys 3 - 1 Osaka
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 46.01% of points on their second serve, while Osaka has won 51.65%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 57.43% of their opponent's second serve points, while Osaka has won 52.85%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.91% and 32.2% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 58.82% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Osaka has saved 60.29% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 71.11% of matches played (W/L 32/ 13), with Osaka winning 57.69% (W/L 15/ 11) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Osaka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 67% (W/L 203/ 102), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 57% (W/L 20/ 15).
- Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.89% of matches (W/L 11/ 8), where as Osaka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 10/ 5). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Keys winning 3 times and Osaka being victorious 1 times. They have played 9 sets in total, with Keys winning 6 and Osaka winning 3. The last match between Keys and Osaka was at the U.S. Open - New York, 06-09-2018, Semifinals, Hard with Naomi Osaka getting the victory 6-2 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:28:31.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Osaka have played a deciding set 1 times, with Keys winning 1 times and Osaka 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 2 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 2, and Osaka 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 99.44 while Osaka has played against players with an average rank of 72.96.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 70% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Osaka has won 20% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 45.26% of breakpoint opportunities, and Osaka has converted 42.86% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
- If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
12
Rank
7
High
29
Age
R
Plays
3
Total1
2
Hard1
1
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
125
Rank
1
High
26
Age
R
Plays
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
Form
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
64% (375-213)
Career Total W/L
64% (299-166)
71% (15-6)
YTD W/L
58% (15-11)
$15,284,067
Career Prize Money
$21,466,083
1
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
The Best Odds For Madison Keys vs Naomi Osaka For Any Market:
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| stats | Madison Keys | Naomi Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Sets Won | 6 | 3 |
| Games Won | 49 | 41 |
| Aces (Total) | 20 | 9 |
| DFs (Total) | 9 | 12 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:28:31 | 1:28:31 |
| 1st Serve % | 64% (176/275) | 61% (189/308) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 76% (133/176) | 65% (122/189) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 44% (44/99) | 48% (57/119) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 34% (11/32) | 50% (9/18) |
| Return Points W% | 42% (129/308) | 36% (98/275) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (2/2) | 0% (0/2) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (3/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (3/0) | 0% (1/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (1/0) | 0% (3/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-2 6-4 |
Stats 
Naomi Osaka
Player
Madison Keys
70%
(
61 of
87)
1st Serve %
72%
(
34 of
47)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
64%
(
39 of
61)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
23 of
34)
58%
(
15 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
38%
(
5 of
13)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
13)
38%
(
33 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
19 of
47)
73
Total Points Won
61
|
||||
| 6-1 7-6(7) |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Naomi Osaka
61%
(
40 of
66)
1st Serve %
50%
(
36 of
72)
3
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
78%
(
31 of
40)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
20 of
36)
42%
(
11 of
26)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
17 of
36)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
24 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
35 of
72)
77
Total Points Won
61
|
||||
| 6-1 6-4 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Naomi Osaka
71%
(
41 of
58)
1st Serve %
68%
(
32 of
47)
8
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
73%
(
30 of
41)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
23 of
32)
59%
(
10 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
20%
(
3 of
15)
75%
(
3 of
4)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
31%
(
18 of
58)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
21 of
47)
61
Total Points Won
44
|
||||
| 7-5 4-6 7-6(3) |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Naomi Osaka
59%
(
61 of
104)
1st Serve %
59%
(
60 of
102)
6
Aces
5
4
Double Faults
4
80%
(
49 of
61)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
40 of
60)
42%
(
18 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
52%
(
22 of
42)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
80%
(
4 of
5)
36%
(
37 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
40 of
102)
107
Total Points Won
99
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Madison Keys | Naomi Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 71% (15/6) | 58% (15/11) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 65% (31/17) | 60% (34/23) |
| Games Win/Loss | 55% (249/203) | 54% (313/262) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 60% (3/2) | 54% (7/6) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 75% (12/4) | 56% (5/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/1) |
| Aces pg | 0.31 | 0.69 |
| Aces Total | 67 | 196 |
| DFs per game | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| DFs Total | 50 | 69 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:37:22 | 1:37:52 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 104.24 | 72.96 |
| 1st Serve % | 67% (971/1460) | 55% (983/1802) |
| 1st Serve W% | 65% (636/971) | 75% (742/983) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 46% (225/489) | 52% (423/819) |
| BPs Won% Total | 45% (86/190) | 43% (78/182) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (675/1500) | 40% (731/1831) |
| Slam W/L | 67% (2/1) | 33% (1/2) |
| Masters W/L | 71% (10/4) | 67% (10/5) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (1/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 75% (3/1) | 43% (3/4) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 71% (15/21) | 58% (15/26) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 75% (6/8) | 42% (5/12) |
| Deciding Set W% | 83% (5/6) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st set W, W | 93% (15/14) | 94% (16/15) |
| 1st set W, L | 7% (15/1) | 6% (16/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 17% (6/1) | 0% (10/0) |
Madison Keys Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R3 |
Stats
Emma Navarro
Player
Madison Keys
77%
(
74 of
96)
1st Serve %
73%
(
61 of
84)
2
Aces
6
2
Double Faults
1
66%
(
49 of
74)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
38 of
61)
36%
(
8 of
22)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
8 of
23)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
40%
(
4 of
10)
41%
(
39 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
38 of
84)
95
Total Points Won
85
|
7-6(5) 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Mayar Sherif
84%
(
47 of
56)
1st Serve %
81%
(
51 of
63)
0
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve Won
51%
(
26 of
51)
56%
(
5 of
9)
2nd Serve Won
58%
(
7 of
12)
40%
(
4 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
17 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
30 of
63)
69
Total Points Won
50
|
6-0 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Renata Zarazua
73%
(
40 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
34 of
50)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
5
65%
(
26 of
40)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
27%
(
4 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
19%
(
3 of
16)
78%
(
7 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
45%
(
25 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
66%
(
33 of
50)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
62%
(
28 of
45)
1st Serve %
65%
(
39 of
60)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
68%
(
19 of
28)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
19 of
39)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
6 of
21)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
38%
(
17 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
35 of
60)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
76%
(
38 of
50)
1st Serve %
53%
(
29 of
55)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
4
61%
(
23 of
38)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
23%
(
6 of
26)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
42%
(
21 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
34 of
55)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
64%
(
41 of
64)
1st Serve %
63%
(
33 of
52)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
0
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
18 of
33)
35%
(
8 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
36%
(
23 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
26 of
52)
67
Total Points Won
49
|
7-5 6-0 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
56%
(
23 of
41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
14 of
23)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
10)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
62
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Sorana Cirstea
73%
(
35 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
5 of
17)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
26 of
45)
58
Total Points Won
35
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
55%
(
42 of
76)
1st Serve %
61%
(
62 of
102)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
67%
(
28 of
42)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
35 of
62)
44%
(
15 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
18 of
40)
54%
(
7 of
13)
Break Points Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
43%
(
33 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
49 of
102)
92
Total Points Won
86
|
6-4 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68%
(
45 of
66)
1st Serve %
68%
(
65 of
96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
36 of
65)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
11 of
31)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
38%
(
25 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
49 of
96)
90
Total Points Won
72
|
6-0 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
view more
Naomi Osaka Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QF |
Stats
Bianca Vanessa Andreescu
Player
Naomi Osaka
63%
(
59 of
94)
1st Serve %
64%
(
63 of
98)
3
Aces
7
4
Double Faults
3
75%
(
44 of
59)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
46 of
63)
46%
(
16 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
51%
(
18 of
35)
60%
(
3 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
36%
(
34 of
94)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
34 of
98)
94
Total Points Won
98
|
6-4 3-6 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Suzan Lamens
39%
(
17 of
44)
1st Serve %
76%
(
32 of
42)
9
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
1
88%
(
15 of
17)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
18 of
32)
67%
(
18 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
30%
(
3 of
10)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
25%
(
11 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
21 of
42)
54
Total Points Won
32
|
6-2 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Elise Mertens
57%
(
31 of
54)
1st Serve %
54%
(
26 of
48)
7
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
2
90%
(
28 of
31)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
18 of
26)
52%
(
12 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
10 of
22)
100%
(
3 of
3)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
26%
(
14 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
20 of
48)
60
Total Points Won
42
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Naomi Osaka
60%
(
69 of
115)
1st Serve %
62%
(
67 of
108)
0
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
65%
(
45 of
69)
1st Serve Won
73%
(
49 of
67)
48%
(
22 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
17 of
41)
20%
(
3 of
15)
Break Points Won
56%
(
5 of
9)
42%
(
48 of
115)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
42 of
108)
109
Total Points Won
114
|
7-6(1) 1-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Lucia Bronzetti
52%
(
47 of
90)
1st Serve %
74%
(
63 of
85)
6
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
1
72%
(
34 of
47)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
39 of
63)
56%
(
24 of
43)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
11 of
22)
45%
(
5 of
11)
Break Points Won
75%
(
3 of
4)
36%
(
32 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
35 of
85)
93
Total Points Won
82
|
6-1 4-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Qinwen Zheng
Player
Naomi Osaka
48%
(
23 of
48)
1st Serve %
50%
(
28 of
56)
2
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
0
78%
(
18 of
23)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
19 of
28)
60%
(
15 of
25)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
100%
(
4 of
4)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
31%
(
15 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
25 of
56)
58
Total Points Won
46
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Daria Kasatkina
53%
(
33 of
62)
1st Serve %
69%
(
40 of
58)
5
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
3
64%
(
21 of
33)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
23 of
40)
55%
(
16 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
28%
(
5 of
18)
42%
(
5 of
12)
Break Points Won
33%
(
2 of
6)
40%
(
25 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
52%
(
30 of
58)
67
Total Points Won
53
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Marta Kostyuk
45%
(
20 of
44)
1st Serve %
50%
(
30 of
60)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
7
85%
(
17 of
20)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
58%
(
14 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
12 of
30)
71%
(
5 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
30%
(
13 of
44)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
33 of
60)
64
Total Points Won
40
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Naomi Osaka
Player
Clara Burel
56%
(
34 of
61)
1st Serve %
48%
(
31 of
65)
8
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
3
82%
(
28 of
34)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
17 of
31)
52%
(
14 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
44%
(
4 of
9)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
31%
(
19 of
61)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
30 of
65)
72
Total Points Won
54
|
7-6(2) 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Liudmila Samsonova
Player
Naomi Osaka
53%
(
48 of
90)
1st Serve %
55%
(
52 of
95)
4
Aces
7
6
Double Faults
5
77%
(
37 of
48)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
36 of
52)
48%
(
20 of
42)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
14 of
43)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
37%
(
33 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
45 of
95)
102
Total Points Won
83
|
6-2 4-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
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Keys Vs Osaka Prediction H2H Images To Share
More tennis photos of Keys are available here and Osaka photos here.
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Naomi Osaka
Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
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